{"id":2400,"date":"2025-11-26T09:08:00","date_gmt":"2025-11-26T14:08:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.brickellsold.com\/blog\/fed-interest-rate-cut-in-december-seems-much-more-likely-as-key-officials-signal-support\/"},"modified":"2026-04-13T10:16:48","modified_gmt":"2026-04-13T14:16:48","slug":"fed-interest-rate-cut-in-december-seems-much-more-likely-as-key-officials-signal-support","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.brickellsold.com\/blog\/fed-interest-rate-cut-in-december-seems-much-more-likely-as-key-officials-signal-support\/","title":{"rendered":"7 Proven Fed Interest Rate Cut in December Seems Much More Likely as Key Officials Signal Support: Mistakes to Avoid"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><\/p>\n<p>The perceived probability of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut next month has jumped dramatically after top officials closely allied with Fed Chair <strong>Jerome Powell<\/strong> expressed support for further rate cuts.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Fed Interest Rate Cut<\/strong> helps improve planning, consistency, and publishing quality when teams follow a repeatable workflow.<\/p>\n<p>New York Fed President <strong>John Williams<\/strong>, a permanent voter and key voice on the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC), said on Nov. 21 that he sees room for interest rates to fall &#8220;in the near term.&#8221;&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>As well, San Francisco Fed President <strong>Mary Daly<\/strong>\u00a0told the Wall Street Journal on Monday that she supports lowering interest rates at the next meeting. While Daly is not a voting member of the FOMC, she has rarely opposed Powell publicly, suggesting the Fed chair could seek a consensus in favor of cutting rates.<\/p>\n<p>In financial and prediction markets, the probability of a quarter-point rate cut in December immediately surged, rising from a roughly 50-50 toss-up early last week to around 85% on Tuesday.<\/p>\n<p>Still, stark divisions remain on the FOMC, with Boston Fed President <strong>Susan Collins<\/strong> and St. Louis Fed President <strong>Jeff Schmid<\/strong> both signaling that they will likely oppose a further rate cut this year, citing fears of lingering inflation. <\/p>\n<p>The Fed uses higher interest rates to fight inflation and lower rates to stimulate the labor market, in line with the central bank&#8217;s dual mandate of price stability and maximum employment. While the Fed doesn&#8217;t set mortgage rates directly, expectations about future Fed policy can influence those rates.<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><figcaption><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Earlier this fall, average mortgage rates fell to a one-year low of 6.17% in late October, just after the Fed cut its policy rate for the second consecutive meeting, taking it to a range of 3.75% to 4%.<\/p>\n<p>The FOMC will next vote on rate policy on Dec. 10, with growing divisions of opinion among the panel&#8217;s members making the outcome unclear.<\/p>\n<p>Williams, speaking at a conference at the Central Bank of Chile on Friday, offered the strongest endorsement yet for a December cut, offering a possible window into Powell&#8217;s thinking ahead of the meeting.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;I view monetary policy as being modestly restrictive,&#8221; said Williams. &#8220;Therefore, I still see room for a further adjustment in the near term to the target range for the federal funds rate to move the stance of policy closer to the range of neutral.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>Yields on 10-year Treasury notes, a key indicator for mortgage rates, eased following the comments, briefly dipping below 4% on Tuesday for the first time in nearly a month and signaling lower mortgage rates in the coming days.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;It&#8217;s hard to think of something that would reverse the momentum toward a cut we&#8217;ve seen this week, but there are still over two weeks until the meeting, which can be an eternity in this uncertain macro environment,&#8221; says Realtor.com\u00ae senior economist <strong>Jake Krimmel<\/strong>. &#8220;A few major FOMC voices would have to change their tune or some really troubling inflation\/labor data would have to surface.&#8221;\u00a0<\/p>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img decoding=\"async\" src=\"https:\/\/na.rdcpix.com\/e8a919f1e3e2e7be61d0046b63ef1e83w-c2107268944srd_q80.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-1096043\" title=\"\"><figcaption><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_81 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title ez-toc-toggle\" style=\"cursor:pointer\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brickellsold.com\/blog\/fed-interest-rate-cut-in-december-seems-much-more-likely-as-key-officials-signal-support\/#New_data_paints_a_confusing_economic_picture\" >New data paints a confusing economic picture<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brickellsold.com\/blog\/fed-interest-rate-cut-in-december-seems-much-more-likely-as-key-officials-signal-support\/#Fed_Interest_Rate_Cut_What_to_Plan_Before_You_Start\" >Fed Interest Rate Cut: What to Plan Before You Start<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-3\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brickellsold.com\/blog\/fed-interest-rate-cut-in-december-seems-much-more-likely-as-key-officials-signal-support\/#External_Resources\" >External Resources<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-4\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brickellsold.com\/blog\/fed-interest-rate-cut-in-december-seems-much-more-likely-as-key-officials-signal-support\/#FAQ_Fed_Interest_Rate_Cut\" >FAQ: Fed Interest Rate Cut<\/a><ul class='ez-toc-list-level-3' ><li class='ez-toc-heading-level-3'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-5\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brickellsold.com\/blog\/fed-interest-rate-cut-in-december-seems-much-more-likely-as-key-officials-signal-support\/#What_should_be_planned_first\" >What should be planned first?<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-new-data-paints-a-confusing-economic-picture\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"New_data_paints_a_confusing_economic_picture\"><\/span>New data paints a confusing economic picture<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Meanwhile, a flurry of new data released this week offered conflicting signals about the state of the economy, potentially complicating the case for a rate cut.<\/p>\n<p>Consumer confidence for November fell to its lowest level since April as Americans expressed worries about their future job prospects, inflation, and the overall economy.<\/p>\n<p>The Consumer Confidence Index, calculated monthly by the Conference Board, plunged 7 points to 88.7 this month, down from 95.5 in October.<\/p>\n<p>\u201cConsumers were notably more pessimistic about business conditions six months from now,\u201d says <strong>Dana Peterson<\/strong>, the Conference Board\u2019s chief economist. \u201cMid-2026 expectations for labor market conditions remained decidedly negative, and expectations for increased household incomes shrunk dramatically, after six months of strongly positive readings.\u201d<\/p>\n<p>Data on retail sales and wholesale inflation in September also came out on Tuesday, after a delay of several weeks due to the government shutdown. <\/p>\n<p>Retail sales rose 0.2% in September, but after adjusting for the 0.3% increase in prices that month, real spending was actually down 0.1%.<\/p>\n<p>Wholesale inflation also rose by 0.3% in September, keeping the annual pace of price increases at 2.7%, according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics. Wholesale price increases often filter through to consumers, and October&#8217;s consumer price index was up 3% annually, above the Fed&#8217;s 2% target.<\/p>\n<p>The delayed data released on Tuesday offered only a partial and delayed picture of the economy, and additional key reports on employment and inflation are not expected before the Dec. 10 FOMC meeting.<\/p>\n<p>Policymakers will have to rely on the September jobs report released last week, which showed stronger-than-expected job growth of 119,000, but an unemployment rate still elevated at 4.4%.<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;The data drought may be formally over, but turning the faucet back on has only produced a trickle so far,&#8221; says Krimmel. &#8220;Because we won&#8217;t see a more timely jobs or CPI report until after the Fed meets, the only data they&#8217;ll have to go by will be from September. And that stale data is already functioning as a Rorschach test with the mixed jobs report providing ammo for hawks and doves alike.&#8221;<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Fed_Interest_Rate_Cut_What_to_Plan_Before_You_Start\"><\/span>Fed Interest Rate Cut: What to Plan Before You Start<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"External_Resources\"><\/span>External Resources<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/developers.google.com\/search\/docs\/essentials\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">Google Search Essentials<\/a> and <a href=\"https:\/\/developer.wordpress.org\/plugins\/\" target=\"_blank\" rel=\"noopener\">WordPress Plugin Handbook<\/a> are useful references for best practices.<\/p>\n<h2><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"FAQ_Fed_Interest_Rate_Cut\"><\/span>FAQ: Fed Interest Rate Cut<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<h3><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_should_be_planned_first\"><\/span>What should be planned first?<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h3>\n<p>Start with the goal, audience, and deliverables so the final content and media support the same outcome.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Need help implementing this workflow?<\/strong> Contact Miami Real Estate Insights &amp; Market Trends to plan a practical content and media process.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Mistakes to Avoid: The perceived probability of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut next month has jumped dramatically after top officials closely allied wit&#8230;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2401,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"rank_math_title":"7 Proven Fed Interest Rate Cut Mistakes to Avoid","rank_math_description":"The perceived probability of a Federal Reserve interest rate cut next month has jumped dramatically after top officials closely allied with Fed Chair Jerome","rank_math_focus_keyword":"Fed Interest Rate Cut","rank_math_canonical_url":"https:\/\/www.brickellsold.com\/blog\/fed-interest-rate-cut-in-december-seems-much-more-likely-as-key-officials-signal-support\/","rank_math_robots":"index,follow","footnotes":""},"categories":[1719],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2400","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-miami-real-estate"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brickellsold.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2400","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brickellsold.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brickellsold.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brickellsold.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brickellsold.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2400"}],"version-history":[{"count":3,"href":"https:\/\/www.brickellsold.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2400\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":3964,"href":"https:\/\/www.brickellsold.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2400\/revisions\/3964"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brickellsold.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2401"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brickellsold.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2400"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brickellsold.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2400"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brickellsold.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2400"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}