{"id":1096,"date":"2025-10-28T12:44:51","date_gmt":"2025-10-28T17:44:51","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.brickellsold.com\/blog\/consumer-confidence-edges-down-over-government-shutdown-concerns-and-inflation\/"},"modified":"2026-04-13T10:47:23","modified_gmt":"2026-04-13T14:47:23","slug":"consumer-confidence-edges-down-over-government-shutdown-concerns-and-inflation","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.brickellsold.com\/blog\/consumer-confidence-edges-down-over-government-shutdown-concerns-and-inflation\/","title":{"rendered":"Consumer Confidence Edges Down Over Government Shutdown Concerns and Inflation"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><\/p>\n<p>Consumer confidence about the economy declined slightly in October, driven by Americans\u2019 concerns over the ongoing federal government shutdown, rising inflation, and future scarcity of jobs.<\/p>\n<p>The Consumer Confidence Index, a measure of U.S. consumers\u2019 sentiments about personal finances and the economy, slipped 1 point in October, to 94.6, from an upwardly revised 95.6 the previous month, marking the lowest reading since April, the Conference Board reported on Tuesday.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;Consumers were a bit more pessimistic about future job availability and future business conditions while optimism about future income retreated slightly,&#8221; says&nbsp;<strong>Stephanie Guichard<\/strong>, senior economist for the Conference Board.<\/p>\n<p>Guichard adds that consumers&#8217; write-in responses, which were mostly negative, were led by references to prices and inflation, which continued to be the main topic influencing Americans\u2019 views of the economy. <\/p>\n<p>Specifically, consumers&#8217; average 12-month inflation expectations rose to 5.9% in October, up from 5.8% in September.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;References to U.S. politics were up notably, with the ongoing government shutdown mentioned multiple times as a key concern,&#8221; notes the Conference Board economist.<\/p>\n<p>Nearly 28% of surveyed consumers said they expect fewer job opportunities in the next six months, up from 25.7%\u2014even though their appraisal of current employment availability improved for the first time since December 2024.<\/p>\n<p>The future outlook for income prospects was also bleaker in October, while the share of consumers anticipating business conditions to brighten slipped from 19.3% to 19%.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<div id=\"ez-toc-container\" class=\"ez-toc-v2_0_81 counter-hierarchy ez-toc-counter ez-toc-grey ez-toc-container-direction\">\n<div class=\"ez-toc-title-container\">\n<p class=\"ez-toc-title ez-toc-toggle\" style=\"cursor:pointer\">Table of Contents<\/p>\n<span class=\"ez-toc-title-toggle\"><a href=\"#\" class=\"ez-toc-pull-right ez-toc-btn ez-toc-btn-xs ez-toc-btn-default ez-toc-toggle\" aria-label=\"Toggle Table of Content\"><span class=\"ez-toc-js-icon-con\"><span class=\"\"><span class=\"eztoc-hide\" style=\"display:none;\">Toggle<\/span><span class=\"ez-toc-icon-toggle-span\"><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" class=\"list-377408\" width=\"20px\" height=\"20px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" fill=\"none\"><path d=\"M6 6H4v2h2V6zm14 0H8v2h12V6zM4 11h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2zM4 16h2v2H4v-2zm16 0H8v2h12v-2z\" fill=\"currentColor\"><\/path><\/svg><svg style=\"fill: #999;color:#999\" class=\"arrow-unsorted-368013\" xmlns=\"http:\/\/www.w3.org\/2000\/svg\" width=\"10px\" height=\"10px\" viewBox=\"0 0 24 24\" version=\"1.2\" baseProfile=\"tiny\"><path d=\"M18.2 9.3l-6.2-6.3-6.2 6.3c-.2.2-.3.4-.3.7s.1.5.3.7c.2.2.4.3.7.3h11c.3 0 .5-.1.7-.3.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7zM5.8 14.7l6.2 6.3 6.2-6.3c.2-.2.3-.5.3-.7s-.1-.5-.3-.7c-.2-.2-.4-.3-.7-.3h-11c-.3 0-.5.1-.7.3-.2.2-.3.5-.3.7s.1.5.3.7z\"\/><\/svg><\/span><\/span><\/span><\/a><\/span><\/div>\n<nav><ul class='ez-toc-list ez-toc-list-level-1 ' ><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-1\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brickellsold.com\/blog\/consumer-confidence-edges-down-over-government-shutdown-concerns-and-inflation\/#What_it_means_for_the_housing_market\" >What it means for the housing market<\/a><\/li><li class='ez-toc-page-1 ez-toc-heading-level-2'><a class=\"ez-toc-link ez-toc-heading-2\" href=\"https:\/\/www.brickellsold.com\/blog\/consumer-confidence-edges-down-over-government-shutdown-concerns-and-inflation\/#Moderation_not_downturn\" >Moderation, not downturn<\/a><\/li><\/ul><\/nav><\/div>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-what-it-means-for-the-housing-market\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"What_it_means_for_the_housing_market\"><\/span>What it means for the housing market<span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<p>Against this backdrop of uncertainty, purchasing plans for homes&nbsp;weakened for the month. <\/p>\n<p>&#8220;For the housing market this fall, that lower-but-steady confidence likely means a more measured pace of decision-making,&#8221; says Realtor.com\u00ae Senior Economist <strong>Anthony Smith<\/strong>. &#8220;Buyers are still active when the right opportunity comes along, but they\u2019re less inclined to stretch their budgets or jump quickly.&#8221;<\/p>\n<p>According to Smith, this shift could lead to more price negotiations and incentives, especially at the luxury end of the housing market.  <\/p>\n<p>Consumers\u2019 perceived likelihood of a recession over the next 12 months eased this month\u2014but more respondents believed a recession had already started.&nbsp;<\/p>\n<p>October&#8217;s dip in confidence was the sharpest among consumers under 35 years old, but those over 55 also expressed pessimism. <\/p>\n<p>By income, confidence plunged for Americans making less than $75,000 a year, but improved for most of the income groups making more than that amount, with the largest surge among those earning over $200,000.<\/p>\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\" id=\"h-moderation-not-downturn\"><span class=\"ez-toc-section\" id=\"Moderation_not_downturn\"><\/span>Moderation, not downturn <span class=\"ez-toc-section-end\"><\/span><\/h2>\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><figcaption class=\"wp-element-caption\">Americans&#8217; purchasing plans for homes weakend in October due to concerns over the government shutdown, inflation, and jobs.  <span class=\"image-credit\">(PATRICK T. FALLON\/AFP via Getty Images)<\/span><\/figcaption><\/figure>\n<p>Smith says the latest reading from the Conference Board shows that the relative steadiness of consumer confidence in the face of the government shutdown\u2014currently approaching the one-month mark\u2014and persistent inflation suggests that households are adapting to the new economic environment. <\/p>\n<p>&#8220;However, the longer the government shutdown persists, the greater the risk becomes, especially for those affected by furloughs,&#8221; warns Smith. <\/p>\n<p>For the housing market, this means that consumers are being cautious rather than discouraged, creating a market that is &#8220;cooler and more deliberate, not cold,&#8221; stresses the economist<\/p>\n<p>&#8220;This environment isn\u2019t signaling a downturn, it\u2019s signaling moderation,&#8221; adds Smith. &#8220;In fact, for buyers, especially those watching for seasonal advantages, this fall still presents opportunities to secure a home on more favorable terms.&#8221;<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Consumer Confidence Edges Down Over Government Shutdown Concerns and Inflation: Consumer confidence about the economy declined slightly in October, driven by Am<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":1097,"comment_status":"closed","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"rank_math_title":"Consumer Confidence Edges Down Over Government Shutdown Concerns and Inflation | Brickellsold","rank_math_description":"Consumer confidence about the economy declined slightly in October, driven by Americans\u2019 concerns over the ongoing federal government shutdown, rising inflation","rank_math_focus_keyword":"Consumer Confidence Edges Down","rank_math_canonical_url":"https:\/\/www.brickellsold.com\/blog\/consumer-confidence-edges-down-over-government-shutdown-concerns-and-inflation\/","rank_math_robots":"index,follow","footnotes":""},"categories":[1720],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1096","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-brickell-real-estate-market"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brickellsold.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1096","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brickellsold.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brickellsold.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brickellsold.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brickellsold.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=1096"}],"version-history":[{"count":2,"href":"https:\/\/www.brickellsold.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1096\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":4401,"href":"https:\/\/www.brickellsold.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/1096\/revisions\/4401"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brickellsold.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/1097"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.brickellsold.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=1096"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brickellsold.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=1096"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.brickellsold.com\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=1096"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}